Game recaps from the Strat box scores. In the World Series, the No. 3 Spokane Hooded Crows (99-63) met the No. 8 Lake County Nighthawks (x).
Game One
Crows 4, Nighthawks 3
Starters: Mark Buehrle @ Clayton Kershaw
49,923 fans watched an exciting game at The Crows Nest. The Spokane Hooded Crows ended a long winless drought and topped the Lake County Nighthawks by the slimmest of margins, 4 to 3.
The game was won by Spokane with a run in the bottom of the 8th inning. Chris Colabello was hit by a pitch. Juan Uribe stepped up to the plate and he was hit by a pitch. After an out was recorded, Joc Pederson then slapped a single to load the bases. D.J. Lemahieu followed next and he hit a sacrifice fly scoring the run. Lake County threatened in the 9th but their rally came up short.
Carson Smith (1-0) got the win allowing no runs in 2/3 of an inning. Smith was helped out by Roberto Osuna who recorded his 4th save. Kevin Siegrist (0-1) was the loser in relief.
Saturday, November 12, 2016
Friday, October 28, 2016
Round Two: Lake County 4, Mohawk Valley 1
Game recaps from the Strat box scores. In this round two
matchup, the No. 5 Mohawk Valley Lions (93-69) met the No. 8 Lake County Nighthawks (88-74).
Game One
Nighthawks 4, Lions1
Starters: Sonny Gray @ Stephen Strasburg
Sonny Gray delivered 8 solid innings at The Lion's Den where the Lake County Nighthawks beat the Mohawk Valley Lions by the score of 4 to 1.
Lake County scored 2 runs in the 5th inning with the help of 3 hits. It was enough to earn the victory. Wade Davis pitched a perfect ninth to earn his 1st save.
Gray (1-0) got the win allowing 1 run in 8 innings. Joe Smith (0-1) was given the loss in relief. He gave up 1 run and 1 hit in 1 2/3 innings.
Game One
Nighthawks 4, Lions1
Starters: Sonny Gray @ Stephen Strasburg
Sonny Gray delivered 8 solid innings at The Lion's Den where the Lake County Nighthawks beat the Mohawk Valley Lions by the score of 4 to 1.
Lake County scored 2 runs in the 5th inning with the help of 3 hits. It was enough to earn the victory. Wade Davis pitched a perfect ninth to earn his 1st save.
Gray (1-0) got the win allowing 1 run in 8 innings. Joe Smith (0-1) was given the loss in relief. He gave up 1 run and 1 hit in 1 2/3 innings.
Saturday, October 22, 2016
Round Two: Spokane 4, Death Valley 2
Game recaps from the Strat box scores. In this round two
matchup, the No. 2 Death Valley Drivers (103-59) met the No. 3 Spokane Hooded Crows (99-63).
Game One
Crows 6, Drivers 3
Starters: Clayton Kershaw @ Gerrit Cole
Alex Rodriguez slammed a home run as the Spokane Hooded Crows defeated the Death Valley Drivers by a score of 6 to 3 at Drivers Stadium.
Spokane scored the decisive runs in a big 8th inning with 2 runs on 3 hits. Chris Colabello got things going when he lofted a solo-blast downtown. After an out was recorded, Danny Valencia came to the plate and lined a one-base hit. Kyle Blanks then reached on an error. Jose Iglesias stepped in and he banged out a single scoring the final run of the inning. Spokane banged out 12 hits on the night.
Clayton Kershaw (1-2) was the winner allowing 3 runs in 7 innings. Roberto Osuna got the save, his 1st. Clay Buchholz (0-1) absorbed the loss in relief. He surrendered 2 runs and 4 hits in 1 1/3 innings.
Game One
Crows 6, Drivers 3
Starters: Clayton Kershaw @ Gerrit Cole
Alex Rodriguez slammed a home run as the Spokane Hooded Crows defeated the Death Valley Drivers by a score of 6 to 3 at Drivers Stadium.
Spokane scored the decisive runs in a big 8th inning with 2 runs on 3 hits. Chris Colabello got things going when he lofted a solo-blast downtown. After an out was recorded, Danny Valencia came to the plate and lined a one-base hit. Kyle Blanks then reached on an error. Jose Iglesias stepped in and he banged out a single scoring the final run of the inning. Spokane banged out 12 hits on the night.
Clayton Kershaw (1-2) was the winner allowing 3 runs in 7 innings. Roberto Osuna got the save, his 1st. Clay Buchholz (0-1) absorbed the loss in relief. He surrendered 2 runs and 4 hits in 1 1/3 innings.
Wednesday, October 19, 2016
Round One: Lake County 4, Goldenrod 1
Game recaps from the Strat box scores. In this round one
matchup, the No. 1 Goldenrod Gators (108-54) met the No. 8 Lake County Nighthawks (88-74).
Game One
Nighthawks 3, Gators 1
Starters: Sonny Gray @ Dallas Keuchel
Second baseman Jose Altuve had 2 base hits and Sonny Gray went the distance as the Lake County Nighthawks defeated the Goldenrod Gators by a score of 3 to 1 at Gator Grounds.
Lake County delivered all the runs required in the 5th inning when they scored 3 runs on 3 hits. The key at-bat was by Adonis Garcia who silenced the stadium when he ripped a one-base hit scoring two baserunners. The Goldenrod batters didn't put up a fight in the bottom of the 9th.
The winning pitcher was Gray (1-0), who allowed 1 run for the game. Dallas Keuchel (0-1) was the losing pitcher. He gave up 3 runs and 6 hits in 6 2/3 innings.
Game One
Nighthawks 3, Gators 1
Starters: Sonny Gray @ Dallas Keuchel
Second baseman Jose Altuve had 2 base hits and Sonny Gray went the distance as the Lake County Nighthawks defeated the Goldenrod Gators by a score of 3 to 1 at Gator Grounds.
Lake County delivered all the runs required in the 5th inning when they scored 3 runs on 3 hits. The key at-bat was by Adonis Garcia who silenced the stadium when he ripped a one-base hit scoring two baserunners. The Goldenrod batters didn't put up a fight in the bottom of the 9th.
The winning pitcher was Gray (1-0), who allowed 1 run for the game. Dallas Keuchel (0-1) was the losing pitcher. He gave up 3 runs and 6 hits in 6 2/3 innings.
Tuesday, October 11, 2016
Round One: Spokane 4, St. Louis 3
Game recaps from the Strat box scores. In this round one
matchup, the No. 3 Spokane Hooded Crows (96-63) met the No. 6 St. Louis Maulers (93-69).
Game One
Crows 4, Maulers 0
Starters: Jacob deGrom @ Zack Greinke
Zack Greinke took a no-hitter into the 6th inning at The Crows Nest where the Spokane Hooded Crows beat the St. Louis Maulers 4 to 0.
Greinke (1-0) was indeed brilliant as he hand-cuffed the St. Louis offense. He didn't allow much, just 2 hits and 1 walk in 7 innings. Greinke whiffed an impressive total of 8 St. Louis batters. The right-handed Greinke lost his chance for a no-hitter when Nick Hundley singled with nobody out in the 6th inning. Both teams' bats went to sleep after the 3rd inning, with no runs scored after that point.
Jacob deGrom (0-1) absorbed the loss. He pitched 7 innings, allowing 5 hits and 3 walks.
Game One
Crows 4, Maulers 0
Starters: Jacob deGrom @ Zack Greinke
Zack Greinke took a no-hitter into the 6th inning at The Crows Nest where the Spokane Hooded Crows beat the St. Louis Maulers 4 to 0.
Greinke (1-0) was indeed brilliant as he hand-cuffed the St. Louis offense. He didn't allow much, just 2 hits and 1 walk in 7 innings. Greinke whiffed an impressive total of 8 St. Louis batters. The right-handed Greinke lost his chance for a no-hitter when Nick Hundley singled with nobody out in the 6th inning. Both teams' bats went to sleep after the 3rd inning, with no runs scored after that point.
Jacob deGrom (0-1) absorbed the loss. He pitched 7 innings, allowing 5 hits and 3 walks.
Round One: Death Valley 4, Cape Cod 2
Game recaps from the Strat box scores. In this round one
matchup, the No. 2 Death Valley Drivers (103-59) met the No. 7 Cape Cod Breakers (93-69).
Game One
Drivers 6, Breakers 2
Starters: Colby Lewis @ Gerrit Cole
The Death Valley Drivers bested the Cape Cod Breakers by a 6 to 2 score at Drivers Stadium.
Gerrit Cole (1-0) had a solid outing for Death Valley. He went 6 innings surrendering 4 hits and 1 walk. Death Valley had 11 hits for the game and Cape Cod had 8.
Cole got help from Clay Buchholz who was credited with his 1st save. Colby Lewis (0-1) took the loss. He was touched for 8 hits and 2 walks in 5 1/3 innings.
Game One
Drivers 6, Breakers 2
Starters: Colby Lewis @ Gerrit Cole
The Death Valley Drivers bested the Cape Cod Breakers by a 6 to 2 score at Drivers Stadium.
Gerrit Cole (1-0) had a solid outing for Death Valley. He went 6 innings surrendering 4 hits and 1 walk. Death Valley had 11 hits for the game and Cape Cod had 8.
Cole got help from Clay Buchholz who was credited with his 1st save. Colby Lewis (0-1) took the loss. He was touched for 8 hits and 2 walks in 5 1/3 innings.
Round One: Mohawk Valley 4, Elysian Fields 2
Game recaps from the Strat box scores. In this round one
matchup, the No. 4 Elysian Fields Flying Dutchmen (94-68) met the No. 5 Mohawk Valley Lions (93-69).
Game One
Dutchmen 4, Lions 0
Starters: David Price @ Jake Arrieta
Jake Arrieta came through with a solid 8 innings at Elysian Fields where the Elysian Fields Flying Dutchmen beat the Mohawk Valley Lions 4 to 0.
Arrieta (1-0) was indeed brilliant as he hand-cuffed the Mohawk Valley offense. He surrendered only 2 hits and 1 walk in 8 innings. Elysian Fields finished with 8 hits while Mohawk Valley ended up with 4.
Arrieta got help from Trevor Rosenthal who earned his 1st save. David Price (0-1) was the losing pitcher. He pitched 5 innings and surrendered 4 hits and 1 walk.
Game One
Dutchmen 4, Lions 0
Starters: David Price @ Jake Arrieta
Jake Arrieta came through with a solid 8 innings at Elysian Fields where the Elysian Fields Flying Dutchmen beat the Mohawk Valley Lions 4 to 0.
Arrieta (1-0) was indeed brilliant as he hand-cuffed the Mohawk Valley offense. He surrendered only 2 hits and 1 walk in 8 innings. Elysian Fields finished with 8 hits while Mohawk Valley ended up with 4.
Arrieta got help from Trevor Rosenthal who earned his 1st save. David Price (0-1) was the losing pitcher. He pitched 5 innings and surrendered 4 hits and 1 walk.
Monday, October 3, 2016
Final Power Ranking For 2016
The final poll for the 2016 season. Teams sorted by wins. Ties broken by run differential.
For the first time, OPS+ and ERA+ are adjusted for ballpark context.
RD stands for run differential and Pyth for Pythagorean winning percentage. BB% and SO/BB ratio do not include intentional walks.
Power Ranking
No | Team | W | L | PCT | Division | R/G | OPS+ | RA/G | ERA+ | Pyth | RD |
1 | Goldenrod | 108 | 54 | .667 | Central | 4.62 | 124 | 3.12 | 119 | .671 | +243 |
2 | Death Valley | 103 | 59 | .636 | Atlantic | 5.20 | 116 | 4.19 | 105 | .597 | +164 |
3 | Spokane | 99 | 63 | .611 | Pacific | 3.75 | 93 | 3.13 | 131 | .581 | +100 |
4 | Elysian Fields | 94 | 68 | .580 | Pacific | 4.89 | 116 | 4.23 | 99 | .565 | +106 |
5 | Mohawk Valley | 93 | 69 | .574 | Atlantic | 4.75 | 117 | 3.74 | 105 | .607 | +164 |
St. Louis | 93 | 69 | .574 | Central | 3.80 | 86 | 3.10 | 141 | .591 | +113 | |
Cape Cod | 93 | 69 | .574 | Northeast | 4.73 | 126 | 4.14 | 94 | .560 | +96 | |
8 | Miami | 90 | 72 | .556 | Northeast | 4.15 | 96 | 3.99 | 106 | .517 | +25 |
9 | Lake County | 88 | 74 | .543 | Central | 4.40 | 110 | 4.14 | 102 | .528 | +43 |
10 | Brooklyn | 82 | 80 | .506 | Pacific | 3.97 | 91 | 4.04 | 105 | .492 | –11 |
11 | Wilmington | 79 | 83 | .488 | Atlantic | 4.45 | 105 | 4.32 | 94 | .513 | +21 |
12 | Fighting Irish | 77 | 85 | .475 | Northeast | 4.27 | 98 | 4.59 | 101 | .467 | –52 |
13 | Rosehill | 75 | 87 | .463 | Central | 4.12 | 92 | 4.14 | 104 | .499 | –2 |
14 | Northwest | 74 | 88 | .457 | Pacific | 3.71 | 82 | 4.10 | 107 | .454 | –64 |
15 | West Side | 73 | 89 | .451 | Northeast | 4.59 | 98 | 5.32 | 87 | .434 | –118 |
16 | Rochester | 72 | 90 | .444 | Atlantic | 3.79 | 94 | 4.07 | 100 | .467 | –46 |
17 | Northeast | 70 | 92 | .432 | Northeast | 3.97 | 96 | 4.68 | 89 | .426 | –115 |
18 | California | 68 | 94 | .420 | Pacific | 3.74 | 95 | 4.37 | 93 | .430 | –102 |
19 | Sudbury | 51 | 111 | .315 | Atlantic | 3.83 | 91 | 5.12 | 83 | .371 | –210 |
20 | Little Rock | 38 | 124 | .235 | Central | 3.43 | 75 | 5.62 | 78 | .290 | –355 |
Sunday, October 2, 2016
Ballpark-Adjusted Team Statistics For 2016
Note: I updated this file with a corrected calculation for ERA+ (March 18, 2017).
We have a complete record of game-by-game line scores for the 2016 season, and that enables me to compute comprehensive park factors for all teams.
The point of this exercise is to (1) highlight the ways in which various parks affect run scoring, and (2) to create Baseball-Reference-style index metrics, specifically OPS+ and ERA+.
Please see this page to learn more about how the calculations are made. Teams are sorted here in descending order of park factor, where 100 is average.
Little Rock played as the most hitter-friendly park in the league with a factor of 115. This means that Scorpions home games featured 15 percent more runs than Scorpions in road games. At the other end of the spectrum, Goldenrod played in a park featuring a factor of 75, meaning that Gators home games saw 25 percent fewer runs than Gators road games.
We have a complete record of game-by-game line scores for the 2016 season, and that enables me to compute comprehensive park factors for all teams.
The point of this exercise is to (1) highlight the ways in which various parks affect run scoring, and (2) to create Baseball-Reference-style index metrics, specifically OPS+ and ERA+.
Please see this page to learn more about how the calculations are made. Teams are sorted here in descending order of park factor, where 100 is average.
No | Team | Home R/G | Road R/G | Park Factor | Multiplier |
1 | Little Rock | 9.68 | 8.43 | 115 | 1.074 |
2 | Fighting Irish | 9.46 | 8.27 | 114 | 1.072 |
3 | Death Valley | 9.99 | 8.78 | 114 | 1.069 |
4 | Rosehill | 8.74 | 7.78 | 112 | 1.062 |
5 | St. Louis | 7.25 | 6.57 | 110 | 1.052 |
6 | West Side | 10.36 | 9.47 | 109 | 1.047 |
7 | Northwest | 8.15 | 7.48 | 109 | 1.045 |
8 | Miami | 8.48 | 7.80 | 109 | 1.044 |
9 | Brooklyn | 8.28 | 7.73 | 107 | 1.036 |
10 | Sudbury | 9.16 | 8.74 | 105 | 1.024 |
11 | Lake County | 8.63 | 8.44 | 102 | 1.011 |
12 | Northeast | 8.53 | 8.77 | 97 | 0.987 |
13 | Wilmingotn | 8.59 | 8.95 | 96 | 0.980 |
14 | Rochester | 7.59 | 8.14 | 93 | 0.967 |
15 | Elysian Fields | 8.79 | 9.46 | 93 | 0.965 |
Spokane | 6.63 | 7.12 | 93 | 0.965 | |
17 | California | 7.74 | 8.48 | 91 | 0.956 |
18 | Mohawk Valley | 7.77 | 9.22 | 84 | 0.921 |
19 | Cape Cod | 7.85 | 9.88 | 80 | 0.898 |
20 | Goldenrod | 6.65 | 8.81 | 75 | 0.877 |
Little Rock played as the most hitter-friendly park in the league with a factor of 115. This means that Scorpions home games featured 15 percent more runs than Scorpions in road games. At the other end of the spectrum, Goldenrod played in a park featuring a factor of 75, meaning that Gators home games saw 25 percent fewer runs than Gators road games.
2016 Wrap: Award Winners & League Leaders
A recap collecting important—or at least interesting—tidbits from the just-concluded 2016 season.
Here are the MMDA end-of-season award winners, as selected by the Strat-O-Matic game engine. The wins above replacement (WAR) metric is generated by the game engine, too, and though it exists in every computer version of the game I own, I just noticed it for the first time this year.
Elysian Fields right fielder Bryce Harper, the top position player in MVP balloting, led the MMDA in home runs (44), RBIs (119), on-base percentage (.443) slugging percentage (.617) and runs scored (119). He narrowly lost the batting title to Rochester's Christian Yelich, who out-hit him by a count of .327 to .324. Harper also walked 117 times, which ranked second in the league only to Lake County's Joey Votto and his 136 free passes.
Spokane lefthander Clayton Kershaw led the MMDA in strikeouts (315), winning percentage (.846) and shutouts (eight), but he cemented his Cy Young and MVP candidacy by finishing runner-up in five other important categories: wins (22), ERA (1.94), innings (251), strikeout rate per nine innings (11.31) and opponent average (.176).
Postseason Awards
Here are the MMDA end-of-season award winners, as selected by the Strat-O-Matic game engine. The wins above replacement (WAR) metric is generated by the game engine, too, and though it exists in every computer version of the game I own, I just noticed it for the first time this year.
MVP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Player | Team | AB | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | AVG | BB | SO | SB | OBP | SLG | WAR | |||||||||||||
C.Kershaw | Crows | See Cy Young Award table below | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
B.Harper | Dutchmen | 556 | 31 | 0 | 44 | 119 | .324 | 117 | 128 | 5 | .443 | .617 | 9.6 | |||||||||||||
A.McCutchen | Lions | 617 | 32 | 8 | 28 | 82 | .246 | 100 | 152 | 8 | .365 | .460 | 7.6 | |||||||||||||
M.Trout | Dodgers | 592 | 28 | 9 | 37 | 93 | .285 | 66 | 177 | 2 | .366 | .551 | 8.5 | |||||||||||||
J.Votto | N'hawks | 558 | 25 | 4 | 29 | 83 | .276 | 136 | 133 | 3 | .421 | .491 | 6.4 |
Elysian Fields right fielder Bryce Harper, the top position player in MVP balloting, led the MMDA in home runs (44), RBIs (119), on-base percentage (.443) slugging percentage (.617) and runs scored (119). He narrowly lost the batting title to Rochester's Christian Yelich, who out-hit him by a count of .327 to .324. Harper also walked 117 times, which ranked second in the league only to Lake County's Joey Votto and his 136 free passes.
CY YOUNG | |||||||||||||||
Pitchers | Team | W | L | ERA | GS | SV | IP | H | BB | SO | HR | H9 | BB9 | SO9 | WAR |
C.Kershaw | Crows | 22 | 4 | 1.94 | 32 | 0 | 251 | 157 | 61 | 315 | 14 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 11.3 | 10.8 |
J.deGrom | Maulers | 21 | 4 | 2.38 | 31 | 0 | 185 | 131 | 49 | 201 | 15 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 9.8 | 6.7 |
D.Keuchel | Gators | 19 | 6 | 2.48 | 36 | 0 | 254 | 192 | 65 | 228 | 20 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 8.1 | 8.4 |
J.Lackey | Gators | 23 | 8 | 2.92 | 37 | 0 | 240 | 225 | 54 | 167 | 16 | 8.4 | 2.0 | 6.3 | 6.2 |
Z.Greinke | Crows | 17 | 6 | 1.51 | 31 | 0 | 244 | 162 | 55 | 209 | 13 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 7.7 | 12.4 |
Spokane lefthander Clayton Kershaw led the MMDA in strikeouts (315), winning percentage (.846) and shutouts (eight), but he cemented his Cy Young and MVP candidacy by finishing runner-up in five other important categories: wins (22), ERA (1.94), innings (251), strikeout rate per nine innings (11.31) and opponent average (.176).
Monday, August 1, 2016
Power Ranking After Block Four
An attempt to rank the league's best teams for the 2016 season. Teams sorted by run differential, then wins.
This installment finds us 108 games into the season, with two blocks and 54 games remaining.
Note that OPS+ and ERA+ are not adjusted for ballpark context during the season.
RD stands for run differential and Pyth for Pythagorean winning percentage. Pace is projected win total based on current winning percentage. BB% and SO/BB ratio do not include intentional walks.
Power Ranking
No | Team | W | L | PCT | Division | R/G | OPS+ | RA/G | ERA+ | Pyth | Pace | RD |
1 | Death Valley | 70 | 38 | .648 | Atlantic | 5.16 | 124 | 4.30 | 95 | .582 | 105 | +93 |
2 | Goldenrod | 69 | 39 | .639 | Central | 4.49 | 105 | 2.98 | 140 | .677 | 104 | +163 |
3 | St. Louis | 67 | 41 | .620 | Central | 3.81 | 91 | 2.87 | 144 | .626 | 101 | +102 |
4 | Elysian Fields | 64 | 44 | .593 | Pacific | 5.15 | 113 | 4.35 | 101 | .575 | 96 | +86 |
5 | Spokane | 61 | 47 | .565 | Pacific | 3.88 | 91 | 3.41 | 123 | .558 | 92 | +51 |
6 | Miami | 61 | 47 | .565 | Northeast | 4.31 | 103 | 4.07 | 100 | .525 | 92 | +25 |
7 | Mohawk Valley | 60 | 48 | .556 | Atlantic | 4.35 | 104 | 3.62 | 118 | .583 | 90 | +79 |
8 | Cape Cod | 60 | 48 | .556 | Northeast | 4.48 | 107 | 4.00 | 107 | .551 | 90 | +52 |
9 | Brooklyn | 58 | 50 | .537 | Pacific | 4.25 | 103 | 4.09 | 100 | .517 | 87 | +17 |
10 | Lake County | 55 | 53 | .509 | Central | 4.14 | 105 | 4.34 | 96 | .478 | 83 | –22 |
11 | Rosehill | 53 | 55 | .491 | Central | 4.11 | 99 | 4.05 | 100 | .507 | 80 | +7 |
12 | Fighting Irish | 53 | 55 | .491 | Northeast | 4.23 | 105 | 4.30 | 99 | .493 | 80 | –7 |
13 | Northwest | 52 | 56 | .481 | Pacific | 3.94 | 87 | 4.12 | 102 | .479 | 78 | –20 |
14 | Northeast | 51 | 57 | .472 | Northeast | 3.96 | 95 | 4.42 | 95 | .451 | 77 | –49 |
15 | Wilmington | 50 | 58 | .463 | Atlantic | 4.36 | 104 | 4.40 | 95 | .496 | 75 | –4 |
16 | Rochester | 48 | 60 | .444 | Atlantic | 3.52 | 89 | 3.82 | 110 | .462 | 72 | –33 |
17 | California | 43 | 65 | .398 | Pacific | 3.78 | 93 | 4.54 | 94 | .418 | 65 | –82 |
18 | West Side | 40 | 68 | .370 | Northeast | 4.40 | 102 | 5.55 | 78 | .397 | 60 | –124 |
19 | Sudbury | 38 | 70 | .352 | Atlantic | 3.85 | 95 | 4.81 | 85 | .401 | 57 | –103 |
20 | Little Rock | 27 | 81 | .250 | Central | 3.57 | 83 | 5.71 | 72 | .300 | 41 | –231 |
Sunday, June 5, 2016
Power Ranking After Block Two
An attempt to rank the league's best teams for the 2016 season. Teams sorted by run differential, then wins.
Note that this is not the official tie-breaking method for playoff seeding or draft order. Also, OPS+ and ERA+ are not adjusted for ballpark context during the season.
RD stands for run differential and Pyth for Pythagorean winning percentage. BB% and SO/BB ratio do not include intentional walks.
Power Ranking
No | Team | W | L | PCT | Division | R/G | OPS+ | RA/G | ERA+ | Pyth | RD |
1 | Goldenrod | 36 | 18 | .667 | Central | 4.61 | 108 | 2.96 | 146 | .692 | +89 |
2 | Spokane | 36 | 18 | .667 | Pacific | 3.89 | 89 | 2.81 | 151 | .644 | +58 |
3 | St. Louis | 35 | 19 | .648 | Central | 4.13 | 100 | 2.74 | 145 | .679 | +75 |
4 | Death Valley | 34 | 20 | .630 | Atlantic | 5.24 | 126 | 4.63 | 89 | .556 | +33 |
5 | Lake County | 32 | 22 | .593 | Central | 4.50 | 108 | 4.26 | 100 | .525 | +13 |
6 | Elysian Fields | 31 | 23 | .574 | Pacific | 5.13 | 110 | 4.50 | 96 | .560 | +34 |
7 | Miami | 31 | 23 | .574 | Northeast | 4.33 | 102 | 4.13 | 99 | .522 | +11 |
8 | Cape Cod | 30 | 24 | .556 | Northeast | 4.31 | 106 | 3.89 | 108 | .547 | +23 |
9 | Brooklyn | 29 | 25 | .537 | Pacific | 4.15 | 97 | 4.17 | 99 | .498 | –1 |
10 | Mohawk Valley | 27 | 27 | .500 | Atlantic | 4.48 | 102 | 4.15 | 107 | .535 | +18 |
11 | Rochester | 26 | 28 | .481 | Atlantic | 3.19 | 81 | 3.39 | 124 | .472 | –11 |
12 | Fighting | 25 | 29 | .463 | Northeast | 4.11 | 109 | 4.37 | 96 | .472 | –14 |
13 | Northeast | 24 | 30 | .444 | Northeast | 3.93 | 90 | 4.72 | 86 | .416 | –43 |
14 | Wilmington | 23 | 31 | .426 | Atlantic | 4.13 | 98 | 4.69 | 89 | .443 | –30 |
15 | Northwest | 23 | 31 | .426 | Pacific | 3.41 | 79 | 4.06 | 105 | .421 | –35 |
16 | Rosehill | 22 | 32 | .407 | Central | 3.98 | 98 | 4.20 | 97 | .475 | –12 |
17 | California | 22 | 32 | .407 | Pacific | 4.17 | 103 | 4.67 | 93 | .448 | –27 |
18 | West Side | 22 | 32 | .407 | Northeast | 4.28 | 99 | 5.33 | 82 | .400 | –57 |
19 | Sudbury | 19 | 35 | .352 | Atlantic | 4.13 | 99 | 4.85 | 82 | .427 | –39 |
20 | Little Rock | 13 | 41 | .241 | Central | 3.76 | 94 | 5.33 | 76 | .345 | –85 |
Wednesday, March 2, 2016
The Most And Least Valuable Up-The-Middle Defenders
By Matt Eddy
Speed never goes into a slump, or so the baseball aphorism posits. The same can be said for defense in Strat-O-Matic baseball, provided that the defender has low enough range and error ratings to convert a high percentage of X-Rolls.
Due to the nature of X-Roll probabilities around the diamond, defenders at certain positions are more consequential than others. Seasoned baseball fans implicitly understand the concept of the defensive spectrum and position value. In SOM terms, the X-Roll probabilities are distributed along these lines:
X-Rolls Per 216 Plate Appearances (108 Rolls Off Hitter Card)
63 | Shortstop
54 | Second Base
27 | Center Field, Third Base
18 | Left Field, Right Field, First Base, Pitcher
The table above illustrates why second base is referred to as the keystone, because the two infielders stationed near the second-base bag are the cornerstones of team defense. Shortstops (.29) and second basemen (.25) process more X-Rolls per plate appearance in the SOM game than (non-catcher) defenders at any other position.
Speed never goes into a slump, or so the baseball aphorism posits. The same can be said for defense in Strat-O-Matic baseball, provided that the defender has low enough range and error ratings to convert a high percentage of X-Rolls.
Due to the nature of X-Roll probabilities around the diamond, defenders at certain positions are more consequential than others. Seasoned baseball fans implicitly understand the concept of the defensive spectrum and position value. In SOM terms, the X-Roll probabilities are distributed along these lines:
X-Rolls Per 216 Plate Appearances (108 Rolls Off Hitter Card)
63 | Shortstop
54 | Second Base
27 | Center Field, Third Base
18 | Left Field, Right Field, First Base, Pitcher
The table above illustrates why second base is referred to as the keystone, because the two infielders stationed near the second-base bag are the cornerstones of team defense. Shortstops (.29) and second basemen (.25) process more X-Rolls per plate appearance in the SOM game than (non-catcher) defenders at any other position.
Tuesday, March 1, 2016
Top Eight Rotations You Want To Avoid In The Playoffs
By Matt Eddy
How strong is the link between rotation quality and team success in a 20-team Strat league? In the case of the MMDA: pretty strong.
Prior to the 2015 season, I ranked the top eight MMDA rotations in terms of the quality of each club's top four starters—the quartet most likely to appear in a playoff series. As it turned out, four of the top six teams on that ranking advanced to the league semifinals in 2015. The No. 2 Miami Manatees met the No. 3 Northwest Stars in one bracket, while in the other, the No. 4 Mohawk Valley Lions combated the No. 6 Spokane Hooded Crows.
So let's give it another go. Just like last year, I will rank in this space the eight most fearsome rotations in
the MMDA, at least according to the on-base and total-base units for the top
four starter cards on each team.
The methodology is slightly changed this year. I used the SOM World starting pitcher rankings to remove my subjectivity and personal bias from the exercise. I also weighted the starter cards on a simple 4-3-2-1 scale to reward clubs with top-heavy rotations. After all, a club's top two starters likely will compile the most playoff innings.
Each club's top four starters—again, according to SOM World—are included here, along with their overall rank among starters. An asterisk (*) denotes that a pitcher may come back on short rest in the playoffs.
1. Spokane Hooded Crows (Pacific)
RHP Zack Greinke (2*), LHP Clayton Kershaw (3*), RHP Jesse Hahn (15), LHP Cole Hamels (16*)
Four of the top 20 starters in the 2016 set can be found in the Crows' rotation, so this is the matchup that opposing teams will want to put off as long as possible in the playoffs. Greinke (1.66 ERA) and Kershaw (301 strikeouts) form the best righty-lefty one-two punch in the game, and both of them can pitch on short rest in the playoffs. Gulp.
How strong is the link between rotation quality and team success in a 20-team Strat league? In the case of the MMDA: pretty strong.
Prior to the 2015 season, I ranked the top eight MMDA rotations in terms of the quality of each club's top four starters—the quartet most likely to appear in a playoff series. As it turned out, four of the top six teams on that ranking advanced to the league semifinals in 2015. The No. 2 Miami Manatees met the No. 3 Northwest Stars in one bracket, while in the other, the No. 4 Mohawk Valley Lions combated the No. 6 Spokane Hooded Crows.
The methodology is slightly changed this year. I used the SOM World starting pitcher rankings to remove my subjectivity and personal bias from the exercise. I also weighted the starter cards on a simple 4-3-2-1 scale to reward clubs with top-heavy rotations. After all, a club's top two starters likely will compile the most playoff innings.
Each club's top four starters—again, according to SOM World—are included here, along with their overall rank among starters. An asterisk (*) denotes that a pitcher may come back on short rest in the playoffs.
1. Spokane Hooded Crows (Pacific)
RHP Zack Greinke (2*), LHP Clayton Kershaw (3*), RHP Jesse Hahn (15), LHP Cole Hamels (16*)
Four of the top 20 starters in the 2016 set can be found in the Crows' rotation, so this is the matchup that opposing teams will want to put off as long as possible in the playoffs. Greinke (1.66 ERA) and Kershaw (301 strikeouts) form the best righty-lefty one-two punch in the game, and both of them can pitch on short rest in the playoffs. Gulp.
Sunday, February 7, 2016
2016 Draft Supplemental Rounds
Results for the supplemental rounds—this year the eighth through 15th
rounds—of the 2016 MMDA draft are as follows. For the first seven rounds—the "regulation" phase—visit the 2016 Draft Results.
EIGHTH ROUND
141 Scorpions Williams Perez, rhp, Braves
142 Breakers Tim Cooney, lhp, Cardinals
143 Dutchmen Preston Tucker, of, Astros
144 Nighthawks David Phelps, rhp, Marlins
145 Snappers Corey Knebel, rhp, Brewers
146 Bluejays Luis Avilan, lhp, Dodgers
147 Irish Pat Venditte, lhp, Athletics
148 Maulers Erik Goeddel, rhp, Mets
149 Gators Josh Osich, lhp, Giants
150 Roadrunners Colin Rea, rhp, Padres
151 Dodgers Jarrod Saltalamacchia, c, D-backs
152 Huskies Edwin Jackson, rhp, Braves
153 Crows Martin Maldonado, c, Brewers
154 Lions Jordy Mercer, ss, Pirates
NINTH ROUND
155 Scorpions Jerome Williams, rhp, Phillies
156 Dutchmen Daniel Hudson, rhp, D-backs
157 Nighthawks Adonis Garcia, 3b, Braves
158 Bluejays Chris Stewart, c, Pirates
159 Irish Dixon Machado, ss, Tigers
160 Maulers Ben Paulsen, 1b, Rockies
161 Gators Eduardo Nunez, 3b, Twins
162 Roadrunners Miguel Socolovich, rhp, Cardinals
163 Huskies John Danks, lhp, White Sox
164 Lions Jesus Sucre, c, Mariners
Dutchmen eighth-round pick Preston Tucker |
142 Breakers Tim Cooney, lhp, Cardinals
143 Dutchmen Preston Tucker, of, Astros
144 Nighthawks David Phelps, rhp, Marlins
145 Snappers Corey Knebel, rhp, Brewers
146 Bluejays Luis Avilan, lhp, Dodgers
147 Irish Pat Venditte, lhp, Athletics
148 Maulers Erik Goeddel, rhp, Mets
149 Gators Josh Osich, lhp, Giants
150 Roadrunners Colin Rea, rhp, Padres
151 Dodgers Jarrod Saltalamacchia, c, D-backs
152 Huskies Edwin Jackson, rhp, Braves
153 Crows Martin Maldonado, c, Brewers
154 Lions Jordy Mercer, ss, Pirates
NINTH ROUND
155 Scorpions Jerome Williams, rhp, Phillies
156 Dutchmen Daniel Hudson, rhp, D-backs
157 Nighthawks Adonis Garcia, 3b, Braves
158 Bluejays Chris Stewart, c, Pirates
159 Irish Dixon Machado, ss, Tigers
160 Maulers Ben Paulsen, 1b, Rockies
161 Gators Eduardo Nunez, 3b, Twins
162 Roadrunners Miguel Socolovich, rhp, Cardinals
163 Huskies John Danks, lhp, White Sox
164 Lions Jesus Sucre, c, Mariners
Tuesday, January 19, 2016
Ballpark-Adjusted Team Statistics For 2015 Season
At precisely the same point in time that I discovered how to create park factors for MMDA teams last May, the means by which those PF estimates were calculated disappeared. As some of you know, our league's 2015 LZP file did not include line scores after April 30, and those line scores are essential to computing park factors.
With the help of a veteran Strat manager who is not in the MMDA, however, I have recovered 99 percent of the line scores from the 2015 season. This third party performed emergency surgery—technically, he rebuilt the league from game files—that yielded results for 1,605 of 1,620 possible games.
In fact, we recovered all 162 data points for 11 of 20 teams and all but a handful of data points for seven others. One team, the Miami Manatees, had 12 corrupted game files—the club's entire home schedule versus Northeast Division opponents in Block 6—and thus the largest error bars among teams in terms of its park factor.
Note: I can reconstruct the complete puzzle if interested parties can find the scores from Miami's Block 6 home games against Cape Cod, Fighting Irish, Northeast and West Side.
Note 2: We also have three random missing game files, which are:
• April 4: Spokane @ Jersey
So three months later than I intended, I have prepared park factors for the 2015 season. Please see this page to learn more about how the calculations are made. Teams sorted in descending order of hitter friendliness.
With the help of a veteran Strat manager who is not in the MMDA, however, I have recovered 99 percent of the line scores from the 2015 season. This third party performed emergency surgery—technically, he rebuilt the league from game files—that yielded results for 1,605 of 1,620 possible games.
In fact, we recovered all 162 data points for 11 of 20 teams and all but a handful of data points for seven others. One team, the Miami Manatees, had 12 corrupted game files—the club's entire home schedule versus Northeast Division opponents in Block 6—and thus the largest error bars among teams in terms of its park factor.
Note: I can reconstruct the complete puzzle if interested parties can find the scores from Miami's Block 6 home games against Cape Cod, Fighting Irish, Northeast and West Side.
Note 2: We also have three random missing game files, which are:
• April 4: Spokane @ Jersey
• April 17: California @ Jersey
• Sept. 4: Spokane @ Brooklyn
So three months later than I intended, I have prepared park factors for the 2015 season. Please see this page to learn more about how the calculations are made. Teams sorted in descending order of hitter friendliness.
No | Team | Home R/G | Road R/G | Park Factor | Multiplier |
1 | Death Valley | 9.20 | 7.33 | 125 | 1.127 |
2 | Brooklyn | 10.16* | 8.32 | 122 | 1.111 |
3 | West Side | 9.81 | 8.28# | 119 | 1.093 |
4 | Lake County | 9.41 | 8.31 | 113 | 1.066 |
5 | Little Rock | 9.20 | 8.20 | 112 | 1.061 |
6 | Cape Cod | 9.23 | 8.69# | 106 | 1.031 |
7 | Northwest | 8.30 | 7.96 | 104 | 1.021 |
8 | Wilmington | 7.80 | 7.86 | 99 | 0.996 |
9 | Rochester | 7.53 | 7.65 | 98 | 0.992 |
10 | St. Louis | 7.95 | 8.11 | 98 | 0.990 |
11 | Goldenrod | 7.58 | 7.80 | 97 | 0.986 |
Miami | 7.84** | 8.06 | 97 | 0.986 | |
13 | Elysian Fields | 7.68 | 8.10 | 95 | 0.974 |
14 | Jersey | 7.96^ | 8.48 | 94 | 0.969 |
15 | California | 8.09 | 8.79* | 92 | 0.960 |
16 | Northeast | 8.11 | 8.90# | 91 | 0.956 |
Rosehill | 7.72 | 8.47 | 91 | 0.956 | |
18 | Fighting Irish | 8.40 | 10.03# | 84 | 0.919 |
19 | Spokane | 5.62 | 6.84^ | 82 | 0.911 |
20 | Mohawk Valley | 6.96 | 8.48 | 82 | 0.910 |
* Sample includes 80 games (one missing) # Sample includes 78 games (three missing) ** Sample includes 69 games (12 missing) ^ Sample includes 79 games (two missing) |
Friday, January 8, 2016
A Jamesian Approach To Evaluating MMDA Managers
In his 1995 book "Whatever Happened To The Hall Of Fame?," Bill James proposed a method for evaluating managers' worthiness for enshrinement in Cooperstown. He assigned weighted values to various accomplishments, such as World Series championships (eight points each), pennants not resulting in a championship (five), division titles (three), career wins (one point per 200) and 100-win seasons (one).
With the Hall of Fame announcing this week that Ken Griffey Jr. and Mike Piazza would comprise its class of 2016, I thought it would be fun to review our current membership with an HOF angle. Thus, I applied James' manager standards to the past decade of MMDA play.
In addition to the weighted values listed, James also awarded points for tenure, but since MMDA managers are not hired and fired by team owners, I did not consider this category relevant to our league context. Instead, I simply listed years in the MMDA, dating back to 2006.
Managers Clyde Elkins (three years) and Mike Renick (one) have undertaken complete rebuilds, so I did not include them in the following ranking.
With the Hall of Fame announcing this week that Ken Griffey Jr. and Mike Piazza would comprise its class of 2016, I thought it would be fun to review our current membership with an HOF angle. Thus, I applied James' manager standards to the past decade of MMDA play.
In addition to the weighted values listed, James also awarded points for tenure, but since MMDA managers are not hired and fired by team owners, I did not consider this category relevant to our league context. Instead, I simply listed years in the MMDA, dating back to 2006.
Managers Clyde Elkins (three years) and Mike Renick (one) have undertaken complete rebuilds, so I did not include them in the following ranking.
No. | Manager | Years | WS | x8 | Penn | x5 | Div | x3 | Wins* | x1 | 100W | x1 | Total |
1 | John Tresca | 10 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 24 | 1008 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 55 |
2 | Matt Eddy | 10 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 931 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 45 |
3 | Ray Ross | 10 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 947 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 40 |
4 | Steven Tresca | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 836 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 |
5 | James Bailey | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 869 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 |
6 | John Lamanna | 6 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 534 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
7 | Steve Frediani | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 770 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
8 | Jim Baker | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 782 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Mike Johnson | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 669 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
10 | Jim Derer | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 353 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
11 | Tim Ednoff | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 342 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
12 | Mike Siddon | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 746 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Eric Campell** | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 731 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
14 | Ryan McCabe | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 389 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Dave Jones | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 347 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
Jim Gruttadauria | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 315 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
George O'Connor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
Tom Edwards | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
* Teams awarded one point for every 200 wins ** Kevin Kasunich takes over franchise for 2016 |
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