Showing posts with label 2016 Season. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2016 Season. Show all posts

Monday, October 3, 2016

Final Power Ranking For 2016


The final poll for the 2016 season. Teams sorted by wins. Ties broken by run differential.

For the first time, OPS+ and ERA+ are adjusted for ballpark context.

RD stands for run differential and Pyth for Pythagorean winning percentage. BB% and SO/BB ratio do not include intentional walks.

Power Ranking 


No Team WLPCTDivisionR/GOPS+RA/GERA+PythRD
1 Goldenrod 108 54 .667 Central 4.62 124 3.12 119 .671 +243
2 Death Valley 103 59 .636 Atlantic 5.20 116 4.19 105 .597 +164
3 Spokane 99 63 .611 Pacific 3.75 93 3.13 131 .581 +100
4 Elysian Fields 94 68 .580 Pacific 4.89 116 4.23 99 .565 +106
5 Mohawk Valley 93 69 .574 Atlantic 4.75 117 3.74 105 .607 +164
St. Louis 93 69 .574 Central 3.80 86 3.10 141 .591 +113
Cape Cod 93 69 .574 Northeast 4.73 126 4.14 94 .560 +96
8 Miami 90 72 .556 Northeast 4.15 96 3.99 106 .517 +25
9 Lake County 88 74 .543 Central 4.40 110 4.14 102 .528 +43
10 Brooklyn 82 80 .506 Pacific 3.97 91 4.04 105 .492 –11
11 Wilmington 79 83 .488 Atlantic 4.45 105 4.32 94 .513 +21
12 Fighting Irish 77 85 .475 Northeast 4.27 98 4.59 101 .467 –52
13 Rosehill 75 87 .463 Central 4.12 92 4.14 104 .499 –2
14 Northwest 74 88 .457 Pacific 3.71 82 4.10 107 .454 –64
15 West Side 73 89 .451 Northeast 4.59 98 5.32 87 .434 –118
16 Rochester 72 90 .444 Atlantic 3.79 94 4.07 100 .467 –46
17 Northeast 70 92 .432 Northeast 3.97 96 4.68 89 .426 –115
18 California 68 94 .420 Pacific 3.74 95 4.37 93 .430 –102
19 Sudbury 51 111 .315 Atlantic 3.83 91 5.12 83 .371 –210
20 Little Rock 38 124 .235 Central 3.43 75 5.62 78 .290 –355

Sunday, October 2, 2016

Ballpark-Adjusted Team Statistics For 2016

Note: I updated this file with a corrected calculation for ERA+ (March 18, 2017).

We have a complete record of game-by-game line scores for the 2016 season, and that enables me to compute comprehensive park factors for all teams.

The point of this exercise is to (1) highlight the ways in which various parks affect run scoring, and (2) to create Baseball-Reference-style index metrics, specifically OPS+ and ERA+.

Please see this page to learn more about how the calculations are made. Teams are sorted here in descending order of park factor, where 100 is average.

No Team Home R/GRoad R/GPark FactorMultiplier
1 Little Rock 9.68 8.43 115 1.074
2 Fighting Irish 9.46 8.27 114 1.072
3 Death Valley 9.99 8.78 114 1.069
4 Rosehill 8.74 7.78 112 1.062
5 St. Louis 7.25 6.57 110 1.052
6 West Side 10.36 9.47 109 1.047
7 Northwest 8.15 7.48 109 1.045
8 Miami 8.48 7.80 109 1.044
9 Brooklyn 8.28 7.73 107 1.036
10 Sudbury 9.16 8.74 105 1.024
11 Lake County 8.63 8.44 102 1.011
12 Northeast 8.53 8.77 97 0.987
13 Wilmingotn 8.59 8.95 96 0.980
14 Rochester 7.59 8.14 93 0.967
15 Elysian Fields 8.79 9.46 93 0.965
Spokane 6.63 7.12 93 0.965
17 California 7.74 8.48 91 0.956
18 Mohawk Valley 7.77 9.22 84 0.921
19 Cape Cod 7.85 9.88 80 0.898
20 Goldenrod 6.65 8.81 75 0.877

Little Rock played as the most hitter-friendly park in the league with a factor of 115. This means that Scorpions home games featured 15 percent more runs than Scorpions in road games. At the other end of the spectrum, Goldenrod played in a park featuring a factor of 75, meaning that Gators home games saw 25 percent fewer runs than Gators road games.

2016 Wrap: Award Winners & League Leaders

A recap collecting important—or at least interesting—tidbits from the just-concluded 2016 season.

Postseason Awards


Here are the MMDA end-of-season award winners, as selected by the Strat-O-Matic game engine. The wins above replacement (WAR) metric is generated by the game engine, too, and though it exists in every computer version of the game I own, I just noticed it for the first time this year.

MVP
PlayerTeamAB2B3BHRRBIAVGBBSOSBOBPSLGWAR
C.KershawCrowsSee Cy Young Award table below











B.HarperDutchmen55631044119.3241171285.443.6179.6
A.McCutchenLions6173282882.2461001528.365.4607.6
M.TroutDodgers5922893793.285661772.366.5518.5
J.VottoN'hawks5582542983.2761361333.421.4916.4

Elysian Fields right fielder Bryce Harper, the top position player in MVP balloting, led the MMDA in home runs (44), RBIs (119), on-base percentage (.443) slugging percentage (.617) and runs scored (119). He narrowly lost the batting title to Rochester's Christian Yelich, who out-hit him by a count of .327 to .324. Harper also walked 117 times, which ranked second in the league only to Lake County's Joey Votto and his 136 free passes.

CY YOUNG
PitchersTeamWLERAGSSVIPHBBSOHRH9BB9SO9WAR
C.KershawCrows2241.9432025115761315145.62.211.310.8
J.deGromMaulers2142.3831018513149201156.42.49.86.7
D.KeuchelGators1962.4836025419265228206.82.38.18.4
J.LackeyGators2382.9237024022554167168.42.06.36.2
Z.GreinkeCrows1761.5131024416255209136.02.07.712.4

Spokane lefthander Clayton Kershaw led the MMDA in strikeouts (315), winning percentage (.846) and shutouts (eight), but he cemented his Cy Young and MVP candidacy by finishing runner-up in five other important categories: wins (22), ERA (1.94), innings (251), strikeout rate per nine innings (11.31) and opponent average (.176).

Monday, August 1, 2016

Power Ranking After Block Four


An attempt to rank the league's best teams for the 2016 season. Teams sorted by run differential, then wins.

This installment finds us 108 games into the season, with two blocks and 54 games remaining.

Note that OPS+ and ERA+ are not adjusted for ballpark context during the season.

RD stands for run differential and Pyth for Pythagorean winning percentage. Pace is projected win total based on current winning percentage. BB% and SO/BB ratio do not include intentional walks.

Power Ranking 


No Team WLPCTDivisionR/GOPS+RA/GERA+PythPaceRD
1 Death Valley 70 38 .648 Atlantic 5.16 124 4.30 95 .582 105 +93
2 Goldenrod 69 39 .639 Central 4.49 105 2.98 140 .677 104 +163
3 St. Louis 67 41 .620 Central 3.81 91 2.87 144 .626 101 +102
4 Elysian Fields 64 44 .593 Pacific 5.15 113 4.35 101 .575 96 +86
5 Spokane 61 47 .565 Pacific 3.88 91 3.41 123 .558 92 +51
6 Miami 61 47 .565 Northeast 4.31 103 4.07 100 .525 92 +25
7 Mohawk Valley 60 48 .556 Atlantic 4.35 104 3.62 118 .583 90 +79
8 Cape Cod 60 48 .556 Northeast 4.48 107 4.00 107 .551 90 +52
9 Brooklyn 58 50 .537 Pacific 4.25 103 4.09 100 .517 87 +17
10 Lake County 55 53 .509 Central 4.14 105 4.34 96 .478 83 –22
11 Rosehill 53 55 .491 Central 4.11 99 4.05 100 .507 80 +7
12 Fighting Irish53 55 .491 Northeast 4.23 105 4.30 99 .493 80 –7
13 Northwest 52 56 .481 Pacific 3.94 87 4.12 102 .479 78 –20
14 Northeast 51 57 .472 Northeast 3.96 95 4.42 95 .451 77 –49
15 Wilmington 50 58 .463 Atlantic 4.36 104 4.40 95 .496 75 –4
16 Rochester 48 60 .444 Atlantic 3.52 89 3.82 110 .462 72 –33
17 California 43 65 .398 Pacific 3.78 93 4.54 94 .418 65 –82
18 West Side 40 68 .370 Northeast 4.40 102 5.55 78 .397 60 –124
19 Sudbury 38 70 .352 Atlantic 3.85 95 4.81 85 .401 57 –103
20 Little Rock 27 81 .250 Central 3.57 83 5.71 72 .300 41 –231

Sunday, June 5, 2016

Power Ranking After Block Two


An attempt to rank the league's best teams for the 2016 season. Teams sorted by run differential, then wins.

Note that this is not the official tie-breaking method for playoff seeding or draft order. Also, OPS+ and ERA+ are not adjusted for ballpark context during the season.

RD stands for run differential and Pyth for Pythagorean winning percentage. BB% and SO/BB ratio do not include intentional walks.

Power Ranking 


No Team WLPCTDivisionR/GOPS+RA/GERA+PythRD
1 Goldenrod 36 18 .667 Central 4.61 108 2.96 146 .692 +89
2 Spokane 36 18 .667 Pacific 3.89 89 2.81 151 .644 +58
3 St. Louis 35 19 .648 Central 4.13 100 2.74 145 .679 +75
4 Death Valley 34 20 .630 Atlantic 5.24 126 4.63 89 .556 +33
5 Lake County 32 22 .593 Central 4.50 108 4.26 100 .525 +13
6 Elysian Fields 31 23 .574 Pacific 5.13 110 4.50 96 .560 +34
7 Miami 31 23 .574 Northeast 4.33 102 4.13 99 .522+11
8 Cape Cod 30 24 .556 Northeast 4.31 106 3.89 108 .547 +23
9 Brooklyn 29 25 .537 Pacific 4.15 97 4.17 99 .498 –1
10 Mohawk Valley 27 27 .500 Atlantic 4.48 102 4.15 107 .535 +18
11 Rochester 26 28 .481 Atlantic 3.19 81 3.39 124 .472 –11
12 Fighting 25 29 .463 Northeast 4.11 109 4.37 96 .472 –14
13 Northeast 24 30 .444 Northeast 3.93 90 4.72 86 .416 –43
14 Wilmington 23 31 .426 Atlantic 4.13 98 4.69 89 .443 –30
15 Northwest 23 31 .426 Pacific 3.41 79 4.06 105 .421 –35
16 Rosehill 22 32 .407 Central 3.98 98 4.20 97 .475 –12
17 California 22 32 .407 Pacific 4.17 103 4.67 93 .448 –27
18 West Side 22 32 .407 Northeast 4.28 99 5.33 82 .400 –57
19 Sudbury 19 35 .352 Atlantic 4.13 99 4.85 82 .427 –39
20 Little Rock 13 41 .241 Central 3.76 94 5.33 76 .345 –85