Friday, October 28, 2016

Round Two: Lake County 4, Mohawk Valley 1

Game recaps from the Strat box scores. In this round two matchup, the No. 5 Mohawk Valley Lions (93-69) met the No. 8 Lake County Nighthawks (88-74).


Game One
Nighthawks 4, Lions1

Starters: Sonny Gray @ Stephen Strasburg

Sonny Gray delivered 8 solid innings at The Lion's Den where the Lake County Nighthawks beat the Mohawk Valley Lions by the score of 4 to 1.

Lake County scored 2 runs in the 5th inning with the help of 3 hits. It was enough to earn the victory.  Wade Davis pitched a perfect ninth to earn his 1st save.

Gray (1-0) got the win allowing 1 run in 8 innings. Joe Smith (0-1) was given the loss in relief. He gave up 1 run and 1 hit in 1 2/3 innings.

Saturday, October 22, 2016

Round Two: Spokane 4, Death Valley 2

Game recaps from the Strat box scores. In this round two matchup, the No. 2 Death Valley Drivers (103-59) met the No. 3 Spokane Hooded Crows (99-63).


Game One
Crows 6, Drivers 3

Starters: Clayton Kershaw @ Gerrit Cole

Alex Rodriguez slammed a home run as the Spokane Hooded Crows defeated the Death Valley Drivers by a score of 6 to 3 at Drivers Stadium.

Spokane scored the decisive runs in a big 8th inning with 2 runs on 3 hits. Chris Colabello got things going when he lofted a solo-blast downtown. After an out was recorded, Danny Valencia came to the plate and lined a one-base hit. Kyle Blanks then reached on an error. Jose Iglesias stepped in and he banged out a single scoring the final run of the inning. Spokane banged out 12 hits on the night.

Clayton Kershaw (1-2) was the winner allowing 3 runs in 7 innings. Roberto Osuna got the save, his 1st.  Clay Buchholz (0-1) absorbed the loss in relief. He surrendered 2 runs and 4 hits in 1 1/3 innings. 

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

Round One: Lake County 4, Goldenrod 1

Game recaps from the Strat box scores. In this round one matchup, the No. 1 Goldenrod Gators (108-54) met the No. 8 Lake County Nighthawks (88-74).


Game One
Nighthawks 3, Gators 1

Starters: Sonny Gray @ Dallas Keuchel

Second baseman Jose Altuve had 2 base hits and Sonny Gray went the distance as the Lake County Nighthawks defeated the Goldenrod Gators by a score of 3 to 1 at Gator Grounds.

Lake County delivered all the runs required in the 5th inning when they scored 3 runs on 3 hits. The key at-bat was by Adonis Garcia who silenced the stadium when he ripped a one-base hit scoring two baserunners. The Goldenrod batters didn't put up a fight in the bottom of the 9th.

The winning pitcher was Gray (1-0), who allowed 1 run for the game. Dallas Keuchel (0-1) was the losing pitcher. He gave up 3 runs and 6 hits in 6 2/3 innings.

Tuesday, October 11, 2016

Round One: Spokane 4, St. Louis 3

Game recaps from the Strat box scores. In this round one matchup, the No. 3 Spokane Hooded Crows (96-63) met the No. 6 St. Louis Maulers (93-69).


Game One
Crows 4, Maulers 0

Starters: Jacob deGrom @ Zack Greinke

Zack Greinke took a no-hitter into the 6th inning at The Crows Nest where the Spokane Hooded Crows beat the St. Louis Maulers 4 to 0.

Greinke (1-0) was indeed brilliant as he hand-cuffed the St. Louis offense. He didn't allow much, just 2 hits and 1 walk in 7 innings. Greinke whiffed an impressive total of 8 St. Louis batters.  The right-handed Greinke lost his chance for a no-hitter when Nick Hundley singled with nobody out in the 6th inning. Both teams' bats went to sleep after the 3rd inning, with no runs scored after that point.

Jacob deGrom (0-1) absorbed the loss. He pitched 7 innings, allowing 5 hits and 3 walks.

Round One: Death Valley 4, Cape Cod 2

Game recaps from the Strat box scores. In this round one matchup, the No. 2 Death Valley Drivers (103-59) met the No. 7 Cape Cod Breakers (93-69).


Game One
Drivers 6, Breakers 2

Starters: Colby Lewis @ Gerrit Cole

The Death Valley Drivers bested the Cape Cod Breakers by a 6 to 2 score at Drivers Stadium.

Gerrit Cole (1-0) had a solid outing for Death Valley. He went 6 innings surrendering 4 hits and 1 walk. Death Valley had 11 hits for the game and Cape Cod had 8.

Cole got help from Clay Buchholz who was credited with his 1st save. Colby Lewis (0-1) took the loss. He was touched for 8 hits and 2 walks in 5 1/3 innings. 

Round One: Mohawk Valley 4, Elysian Fields 2

Game recaps from the Strat box scores. In this round one matchup, the No. 4 Elysian Fields Flying Dutchmen (94-68) met the No. 5 Mohawk Valley Lions (93-69).


Game One
Dutchmen 4, Lions 0

Starters: David Price @ Jake Arrieta

Jake Arrieta came through with a solid 8 innings at Elysian Fields where the Elysian Fields Flying Dutchmen beat the Mohawk Valley Lions 4 to 0.

Arrieta (1-0) was indeed brilliant as he hand-cuffed the Mohawk Valley offense. He surrendered only 2 hits and 1 walk in 8 innings. Elysian Fields finished with 8 hits while Mohawk Valley ended up with 4.

Arrieta got help from Trevor Rosenthal who earned his 1st save. David Price (0-1) was the losing pitcher. He pitched 5 innings and surrendered 4 hits and 1 walk.

Monday, October 3, 2016

Final Power Ranking For 2016


The final poll for the 2016 season. Teams sorted by wins. Ties broken by run differential.

For the first time, OPS+ and ERA+ are adjusted for ballpark context.

RD stands for run differential and Pyth for Pythagorean winning percentage. BB% and SO/BB ratio do not include intentional walks.

Power Ranking 


No Team WLPCTDivisionR/GOPS+RA/GERA+PythRD
1 Goldenrod 108 54 .667 Central 4.62 124 3.12 119 .671 +243
2 Death Valley 103 59 .636 Atlantic 5.20 116 4.19 105 .597 +164
3 Spokane 99 63 .611 Pacific 3.75 93 3.13 131 .581 +100
4 Elysian Fields 94 68 .580 Pacific 4.89 116 4.23 99 .565 +106
5 Mohawk Valley 93 69 .574 Atlantic 4.75 117 3.74 105 .607 +164
St. Louis 93 69 .574 Central 3.80 86 3.10 141 .591 +113
Cape Cod 93 69 .574 Northeast 4.73 126 4.14 94 .560 +96
8 Miami 90 72 .556 Northeast 4.15 96 3.99 106 .517 +25
9 Lake County 88 74 .543 Central 4.40 110 4.14 102 .528 +43
10 Brooklyn 82 80 .506 Pacific 3.97 91 4.04 105 .492 –11
11 Wilmington 79 83 .488 Atlantic 4.45 105 4.32 94 .513 +21
12 Fighting Irish 77 85 .475 Northeast 4.27 98 4.59 101 .467 –52
13 Rosehill 75 87 .463 Central 4.12 92 4.14 104 .499 –2
14 Northwest 74 88 .457 Pacific 3.71 82 4.10 107 .454 –64
15 West Side 73 89 .451 Northeast 4.59 98 5.32 87 .434 –118
16 Rochester 72 90 .444 Atlantic 3.79 94 4.07 100 .467 –46
17 Northeast 70 92 .432 Northeast 3.97 96 4.68 89 .426 –115
18 California 68 94 .420 Pacific 3.74 95 4.37 93 .430 –102
19 Sudbury 51 111 .315 Atlantic 3.83 91 5.12 83 .371 –210
20 Little Rock 38 124 .235 Central 3.43 75 5.62 78 .290 –355

Sunday, October 2, 2016

Ballpark-Adjusted Team Statistics For 2016

Note: I updated this file with a corrected calculation for ERA+ (March 18, 2017).

We have a complete record of game-by-game line scores for the 2016 season, and that enables me to compute comprehensive park factors for all teams.

The point of this exercise is to (1) highlight the ways in which various parks affect run scoring, and (2) to create Baseball-Reference-style index metrics, specifically OPS+ and ERA+.

Please see this page to learn more about how the calculations are made. Teams are sorted here in descending order of park factor, where 100 is average.

No Team Home R/GRoad R/GPark FactorMultiplier
1 Little Rock 9.68 8.43 115 1.074
2 Fighting Irish 9.46 8.27 114 1.072
3 Death Valley 9.99 8.78 114 1.069
4 Rosehill 8.74 7.78 112 1.062
5 St. Louis 7.25 6.57 110 1.052
6 West Side 10.36 9.47 109 1.047
7 Northwest 8.15 7.48 109 1.045
8 Miami 8.48 7.80 109 1.044
9 Brooklyn 8.28 7.73 107 1.036
10 Sudbury 9.16 8.74 105 1.024
11 Lake County 8.63 8.44 102 1.011
12 Northeast 8.53 8.77 97 0.987
13 Wilmingotn 8.59 8.95 96 0.980
14 Rochester 7.59 8.14 93 0.967
15 Elysian Fields 8.79 9.46 93 0.965
Spokane 6.63 7.12 93 0.965
17 California 7.74 8.48 91 0.956
18 Mohawk Valley 7.77 9.22 84 0.921
19 Cape Cod 7.85 9.88 80 0.898
20 Goldenrod 6.65 8.81 75 0.877

Little Rock played as the most hitter-friendly park in the league with a factor of 115. This means that Scorpions home games featured 15 percent more runs than Scorpions in road games. At the other end of the spectrum, Goldenrod played in a park featuring a factor of 75, meaning that Gators home games saw 25 percent fewer runs than Gators road games.

2016 Wrap: Award Winners & League Leaders

A recap collecting important—or at least interesting—tidbits from the just-concluded 2016 season.

Postseason Awards


Here are the MMDA end-of-season award winners, as selected by the Strat-O-Matic game engine. The wins above replacement (WAR) metric is generated by the game engine, too, and though it exists in every computer version of the game I own, I just noticed it for the first time this year.

MVP
PlayerTeamAB2B3BHRRBIAVGBBSOSBOBPSLGWAR
C.KershawCrowsSee Cy Young Award table below











B.HarperDutchmen55631044119.3241171285.443.6179.6
A.McCutchenLions6173282882.2461001528.365.4607.6
M.TroutDodgers5922893793.285661772.366.5518.5
J.VottoN'hawks5582542983.2761361333.421.4916.4

Elysian Fields right fielder Bryce Harper, the top position player in MVP balloting, led the MMDA in home runs (44), RBIs (119), on-base percentage (.443) slugging percentage (.617) and runs scored (119). He narrowly lost the batting title to Rochester's Christian Yelich, who out-hit him by a count of .327 to .324. Harper also walked 117 times, which ranked second in the league only to Lake County's Joey Votto and his 136 free passes.

CY YOUNG
PitchersTeamWLERAGSSVIPHBBSOHRH9BB9SO9WAR
C.KershawCrows2241.9432025115761315145.62.211.310.8
J.deGromMaulers2142.3831018513149201156.42.49.86.7
D.KeuchelGators1962.4836025419265228206.82.38.18.4
J.LackeyGators2382.9237024022554167168.42.06.36.2
Z.GreinkeCrows1761.5131024416255209136.02.07.712.4

Spokane lefthander Clayton Kershaw led the MMDA in strikeouts (315), winning percentage (.846) and shutouts (eight), but he cemented his Cy Young and MVP candidacy by finishing runner-up in five other important categories: wins (22), ERA (1.94), innings (251), strikeout rate per nine innings (11.31) and opponent average (.176).