Saturday, January 14, 2017

Examining 15 Years Of League History In Five-Year Windows

Note: I updated this file with a corrected calculation for ERA+, which altered a few pitching and balance leaders (March 18, 2017).

The MMDA just completed its 15th season of play in its "online" era. This means we have comprehensive player, team and league data for every season from 2002 through 2016.

To celebrate this odd anniversary, I sliced the data into three five-years periods to see how things shook out. Which were the best regular-season teams from 2002 to 2006? Which teams dominated the playoffs from 2007 to 2011? Which players or teams established league records from 2012 to 2016?

Now we have the answers to these esoteric questions and more.

Granted, dividing the seasons into five-year buckets based on chronology is arbitrary. So at the end of this piece, I divide MMDA history into periods along lines that a historian might draw.

In the tables below PF stands for park factor. Pyth stands for Pythagorean record.


I. Period One: 2002–2006

The best regular season managers from 2002 to 2006 as ranked by wins.

NoManagerWLPctR/GOPS+RA/GERA+HomeRoadPFPyth
1 Steven Tresca 470340.5805.891194.80103+23+42100.589
2John Tresca451359.5574.941014.52109+21+25100.537
3James Bailey450360.5565.481094.78107+30+15109.561
4Ray Ross441369.5444.62944.13115+7+2993.544
5Mike Capriotti440370.5434.65934.30112+26+9104.538

Tuesday, January 10, 2017

Active MMDA Manager Register 2016

In the continuing tradition of lifting ideas from Baseball-Reference, I created an all-time register for the 20 active managers in the MMDA.

A similar table to the one that appears here also runs at the bottom of our site's Playoff History page, but even I sometimes forget it's there. So I embellished the data from that page and created a more prominent space for it here on the blog.

Thanks to commissioner James Bailey's record keeping from the early years of the MMDA, I had access to comprehensive won-loss and playoff data back through the 1995 season. So that's where I drew the line for this table. Five active managers played in the league in 1994 or earlier, but the results of those seasons are not reflected here.

Managers are sorted here by career wins. Remember, this data goes back only through the 1995 season.

NoManagerYrsWLPctGHighWHighLPlayoffsWSWonPennWon
1 John Tresca 22 2047 1517 .574 3564 120 124 16 2 5
2 Ray Ross 22 2003 1561 .562 3564 117 92 18 2 5
3 Steven Tresca 22 1976 1588 .554 3564 108 123 17 2 3
4 James Bailey 22 1891 1673 .531 3564 105 102 13 1 1
5 Steve Frediani 22 1708 1856 .479 3564 106 116 9 0 3
6 Jim Baker 22 1614 1950 .453 3564 112 117 1 0 0
7 Matt Eddy 15 1239 1191 .510 2430 113 113 9 2 3
8 Mike Siddon 16 1193 1399 .460 2592 98 103 2 0 0
9 Mike Johnson 10 831 789 .513 1620 97 97 5 0 0
10 John Lamanna 7 642 492 .566 1134 108 78 6 1 1
11 Ryan McCabe 6 466 506 .479 972 93 108 1 0 0
12 Dave Jones 6 435 537 .448 972 88 106 1 1 1
13 Jim Derer 5 428 382 .528 810 101 87 2 0 0
14 Tim Ednoff 5 424 386 .523 810 99 89 2 0 0
15 G. O'Connor 5 399 411 .493 810 103 95 2 0 0
16 J. Gruttadauria 5 388 422 .479 810 87 94 1 0 0
17 Tom Edwards 4 317 331 .489 648 90 105 1 0 0
18 Clyde Elkins 4 283 365 .437 648 94 102 1 0 0
19 Mike Renick 2 83 241 .256 324 45 124 0 0 0
20 Kevin Kasunich 1 51 111 .315 162 51 111 0 0 0

Monday, January 9, 2017

Most Decorated Managers Of The Past Decade

Bill James once proposed a method for evaluating managers' worthiness for enshrinement in Cooperstown. He assigned weighted values to various accomplishments, such as World Series championships (eight points each), pennants not resulting in a championship (five), division titles (three), career wins (one point per 200) and 100-win seasons (one).

Last year, I applied James' manager standards to the past decade of MMDA play, and John Tresca's Northeast Huskies ranked No. 1 for the 2006-2015 period.

This year I applied those same standards to the past 10 seasons of MMDA play, 2007-2016, to see if anyone challenged John for the top spot. This time, however, I substituted top-four playoff seedings for division titles, because division titles are practically meaningless in our league format.

MMDA teams receive no bonus for winning their division and, in fact, just three of the past eight league champions won their division, whereas two teams that qualified for the playoffs as the No. 8 seed—2012 Goldenrod and 2016 Lake County—actually won the whole thing.

I included division titles in the table below, even though it does not count toward the final score. The Avg-W column is simply Wins divided by Years.

No.ManagerYearsAvg-WWSPennDivTop-4Wins*100-WTotal
1 John Tresca 10 98 1 2 8 8 978 7 53
2 Matt Eddy 10 94 2 1 5 3 941 2 36
3 Ray Ross 10 93 1 2 4 3 925 3 34
4 Steven Tresca 10 86 1 1 1 4 862 3 32
5 John Lamanna 7 92 1 3 4 642 1 24
6 Steve Frediani 10 792 2 1 794 16
7 James Bailey 10 85 4 3 853 1 14
8 Dave Jones 6 73 1 435 10
9 Jim Baker 10 781 1 781 1 7
10 Jim Derer 5 86 1 1 428 1 6
11 Tim Ednoff 5 85 1 1 424 5
Ryan McCabe 6 78 1 466 5
George O'Connor 5 80 1 1 399 1 5
14 Clyde Elkins 4 71 1 283 4
15 Mike Johnson 9 85 1 762 3
Mike Siddon 10 74 742 3
17 Tom Edwards 4 79 317 1
Jim Gruttadauria 5 78 388 1
19 Kevin Kasunich 1 51 51 0
Mike Renick 2 42 83 0
* Teams awarded one point for every 200 wins

Thursday, January 5, 2017

Top 10 Uncarded Prospects Omitted From 2017 Draft

By Matt Eddy

Shortstops Corey Seager and Trea Turner were the top two rookies in the National League in 2016, but neither will be available for selection in the upcoming MMDA draft. That's because both were first-round picks last year following September callups in 2015.

Yoan Moncada might be the most dynamic
power-speed prospect in baseball
The Scorpions took Seager No. 4 overall and the Huskies snagged Turner, who also plays center field and second base, at No. 15. Both teams appear quite wise for making those selections.

Despite the fact that this year's draft lacks Seager and Turner, two of the game's most promising young shortstops, it is not deficient in talent overall. For example, the only two American League players to receive first-place votes in rookie of the year balloting—Tigers righthander Michael Fulmer and Yankees catcher Gary Sanchez—are both draft eligible. So are the other five AL players to receive ROY votes.

The depth of the 2016 rookie crop is impressive, but of course not every rookie receives a card from Strat—and only carded players may be drafted in the MMDA. Still, just think how much better this year's draft class would look if some of the following rookies were eligible for selection.

To repeat: The following players made their big league debuts in 2016 but are not eligible for the MMDA draft in February. Keep tabs on them for the 2018 draft, because I can't be wrong about all of them.

1. Yoan Moncada, 2b/3b, Red Sox (now White Sox)

Moncada went just 4-for-19 with 12 strikeouts during a September callup with the Red Sox, but he has few rivals in terms of physical ability, not to mention a long list of credentials. The 21-year-old Cuban claimed the Baseball America Minor League Player of the Year award in 2016, for a season he spent at high Class A Salem and Double-A Portland. In 106 games overall Moncada hit .294/.407/.511 with 15 home runs, 37 doubles-plus-triples, 45 stolen bases and 72 walks. Just don't expect him to win any Gold Gloves.

The Red Sox traded Moncada and three other prospects to the White Sox for Chris Sale at the 2016 Winter Meetings.