Sunday, November 1, 2020

MMDA Manager Register After 2020 Season

This post includes a complete statistical record for MMDA managers going back to 1995.

Managers are ranked by Fibonacci win points. This concept was introduced by Bill James in his book Whatever Happened To The Hall Of Fame? It balances teams' win totals with their winning percentage to arrive at one pleasing number.

Key to categories: 90W and 100W are 90-win and 100-win seasons. DIV stands for division titles and POST for postseason appearances. FIB is Fibonacci win points.

Regular Season Manager Register

RKMANAGERWLPCT
YRS90W
100W
DIV
POSTFIB
1 John Tresca 2398 1814 .569 26 19 11 12 19 1949
2 Ray Ross 2338 1874 .555 26 14 6 9 16 1762
3 Steven Tresca 2277 1935 .541 26 18 9 2 19 1573
4 James Bailey 2225 1987 .528 26 9 5 7 14 1413
5 Matt Eddy 1618 1460 .526 19 8 4 8 11 1009
6 Steve Frediani 2064 2148 .490 26 8 3 8 10 927
7 Jim Baker 1979 2235 .470 26 4 2 2 3 673
8 John Lamanna 1095 1011 .520 13 5 1 4 7 653
9 Jim Derer 795 663 .545 9 4 1 4 5 565
10 Tim Ednoff 780 678 .535 9 3 0 1 4 519
11 George O'Connor 777 681 .533 9 4 2 3 6 510
12 Mike Siddon 1517 1723 .468 20 2 0 0 3 504
13 Clyde Elkins 651 645 .502 8 4 2 1 4 333
14 Jim Gruttadauria 707 751 .485 9 0 0 0 2 299
15 Ryan McCabe 771 849 .476 10 1 0 1 2 289
16 Bill Huffman 71 91 .438 1 0 0 0 0 11
17 Patrick Tougas 113 211 .349 2 0 0 0 0 -59
18 Bret Williams 42 120 .259 1 0 0 0 0 -67
19 Kevin Kasunich 302 508 .373 5 0 0 0 0 -93
20 Mike Renick 359 613 .369 6 1 0 0 1 -121

Remember, this data covers the 1995 through 2020 seasons.

Managerial thresholds crossed in 2020: Steve Frediani passed 2,000 wins and Mike Siddon cleared 1,500.

MMDA Team Report Cards For 2020

Context is so important to analysis. 

Numbers take on new meaning when presented in such a way that they can be interpreted quickly and accurately. Toward that end, I created a league report card that grades each MMDA team in terms of its proficiency across basic categories of component performance.

Grades were determined by standard deviation Z-scoring and then mapping those scores to the familiar report card grading tiers of A, B, C, D and F. A true grade point average could be developed by weighting each of the categories based on significance, but I elected to keep things simple for the first draft.

The TOTAL column places the same weight on each category, i.e. it's an average, and is more of a sorting tool than accurate portrayal of overall quality.   


Run-Creation Report Card

TEAM AVG ISO SPD BB% SO% TOTAL
Mohawk Valley A A- C- A- A B+
Northwest B+ B A B+ B+ B+
Death Valley B+ A- B- C A- B
Brooklyn A- C+ C B+ B+ B
Wilmington B C+ B- B- A- B
California B A B- C C B-
Little Rock B- A+ C+ B+ D+ B-
Northeast C+ C C A B B-
Murrieta C+ A C+ B+ D+ B-
Rochester C C+ B- B+ C+ B-
Rosehill B+ C+ C C- B C+
Spokane B- D+ B- C+ B C+
West Side B- C- A- C+ C- C+
Willamsport B- B- A C D- C+
Goldenrod B D B+ F B C+
Fighting D+ B+ D B C- C
Cape Cod D- C C A- B- C
Elysian Fields D D+ C- C+ B- C
Sudbury C- C- D- C A- C
Georgian Bay F C+ A+ D- D- C-

The listed run-creation categories attempt to capture the spirit of each team's ability to hit for average, hit for power, run, take patient at-bats and make contact.

2020 Final Power Ranking

 
The final poll for the 2020 season. Teams sorted by wins. Ties broken by run differential.

OPS+ and ERA+ are adjusted for ballpark context.

RD run differential
PF park factor multiplier
BB% does not include intentional walks
SPD speed score
BABIP is a rough estimate of team defensive quality

Power Ranking 


No Team WLPCTDivisionR/GOPS+RA/GERA+PFRD
1 Mohawk Valley 111 51 .685 Kranepool
5.69 112 4.25 119 1.037 +234
2 Spokane 104 58 .642 McBride
4.80 99 3.44 131 0.977 +220
3 Death Valley 97 65 .599 Doyle
5.30 98 4.60 113 1.085 +114
4 Rosehill 95 67 .586 Fidrych
5.15 115 4.28 103 0.894 +142
5 Little Rock 94 68 .580 Fidrych 5.48 106 4.74 107 1.003 +119
6 Northeast 93 69 .574 Doyle 5.00 115 4.25 102 0.871 +122
7 California 92 70 .568 McBride 5.14 110 4.32 108 0.947 +133
8 Northwest 91 71 .562 McBride 5.61 101 5.19 104 1.076 +68
9 West Side 86 76 .531 Doyle 5.11 92 4.96 108 1.070 +25
10 Wilmington 83 79 .512 Kranepool 5.03 105 4.65 104 0.971 +61
11 Fighting 80 82 .494 Doyle 4.91 92 4.72 112 1.047 +30
12 Brooklyn 79 83 .488 Fidrych 5.59 108 5.50 93 1.002 +15
13 Rochester 77 85 .475 Kranepool 4.99 97 5.20 98 1.015 -33
14 Goldenrod 72 90 .444 Fidrych 4.66 89 5.38 97 1.065 -117
15 Willamsport 71 91 .438 Fidrych 4.98 94 5.25 102 1.067 -44
16 Georgian Bay 65 97 .401 Kranepool 4.20 87 5.19 92 0.963 -160
17 Sudbury 64 98 .395 Kranepool 4.56 89 5.47 93 1.021 -147
18 Cape Cod 63 99 .389 Doyle 4.46 99 5.72 71 0.898 -205
19 Elysian Fields 61 101 .377 McBride 4.36 93 5.33 88 0.949 -157
20 Murrieta 42 120 .259 McBride 5.09 97 7.69 58 1.075 -420