My Favorite Values Of The 2024 MMDA Draft

My favorite 2024 MMDA draft values, excluding players I drafted to the Mohawk Valley roster. 

Round One

Righthander Eury Perez (ninth overall, Irish) and right fielder Jordan Walker (14th, Whiskey Jacks) both had a case to be drafted higher than they were. Not only are they supremely talented, but they're uncommonly young for major leaguers.

At age 20, Perez was the youngest player in MLB in 2023, while Walker was the youngest player to make an Opening Day roster. He didn't turn 21 until May 22.

Round Two

This draft was rich in pitching talent, a fact evident in the second round when seven pitchers were selected in a 10-pick span at one point.

Righthanders Bryce Miller (29th, Crosscutters) and Bryan Woo (32nd, Mustangs) plus lefthander Kyle Harrison (31st, Red Hots) were three of my favorite values.

Round Three

Young pitching talent again stood out to me in the third round, with young righthanders Taj Bradley (41st, Whiskey Jacks) and AJ Smith-Shawver (53rd, Huskies) being of particular note. These types of pitchers are probably gone in the top 30 picks in a draft lighter on arm talent—which is all of them!

Round Four

The talent begins to thin considerably in the fourth round. This is where some key relievers were taken, including Yennier Cano, Tyler Holton, Robert Stephenson and Abner Uribe. But it's not uncommon for top reliever cards to be taken in this range of the draft.

The best speculative picks for me in this round were second baseman Ronny Mauricio (79th, Huskies) right fielder Henry Davis (75th, Scorpions) and catcher Austin Wells (78th, Crows).

Mauricio and Davis, the No. 1 overall pick in the 2021 MLB draft, have loud tools but face questions about feel for hitting. Wells is a more established hitter, with power that will play in Yankee Stadium, but faces skepticism about his defensive capabilities.

Round Five

Miguel Vargas (81st, Red Hots) might end up on a corner, where his power will be tested. But he's a .310 career hitter in the minor leagues with as many as 23 homers and 71 walks in a season.

Liover Peguero (98th, Scorpions) has flashed all-around ability at his various minor league stops.

Round Six

Two who stood out to me past pick 100 were second baseman Xavier Edwards (105th, Crosscutters), who has shown good bat-to-ball, strike-zone control and speed, and righthander Alex Faedo (102nd, Crosscutters), who misses a ton of bats at Triple-A but hasn't found the same success in Detroit.

MMDA Team Records

In this post I collect all MMDA team records dating back to 2002, which is as far back as this stuff is digitized on the site.

Batting Records (2002–2023)

Batting Average

.312 Northern Lehigh, 2009

Runs Scored

1,194 Newton, 2003

Runs Per Game

7.37 Newton, 2003

Hits

1,793 Northern Lehigh, 2009

Doubles

417 Northeast, 2009

Triples

79 Mohawk Valley, 2008

Home Runs

363 Murrieta, 2022

Runs Batted In

1,146 Newton, 2003

Stolen Bases

424 Northern Lehigh, 2006

Caught Stealing

194 Northern Lehigh, 2007

On-Base Percentage

.392 Northern Lehigh, 2009

Slugging Percentage

.547 Newton, 2002

Walks

864 Montreal, 2007

Intentional Walks

72 Jersey, 2005

Strikeouts

1,651 Little Rock, 2021

Hit By Pitcher

138 Wilmington, 2021

Sacrifice Hits

125 Abilene, 2002

Sacrifice Flies

66 Northeast, 2009

Grounded Into Double Play

196 Northwest, 2009

Total Bases

3,162 Newton, 2002

Times On Base

2,634 Newton, 2003

Extra-Base Hits

748 Murrieta, 2022

Isolated Slugging

.269 Murrieta, 2022

Secondary Average

.408 Wilmington, 2021

Walk Rate

12.7% Montreal, 2007

Lowest Strikeout Rate

11.8% Northwest, 2008

Lowest K-BB%

3.9% Montreal, 2007

At-Bats Per Home Run

15.53 Murrieta, 2022

Power-Speed Number

263 Northern Lehigh, 2008

Raw OPS+

140 Northern Lehigh, 2009

Park-Adjusted OPS+ (since 2004)

138 Bethlehem, 2007 

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Pitching Records (2002–2023)

Earned Run Average

2.62 Spokane, 2015

Runs Allowed Per Game

2.97 Spokane, 2023

Strikeouts

1,741 Spokane, 2021

Walks Plus Hits Per Inning

1.033 Mohawk Valley, 2023

Hits Per 9 Innings

6.56 Spokane, 2019

Home Runs Per 9 Innings

0.66 Spokane, 2019

Walk Rate

6.2% Mohawk Valley, 2023

Strikeout Rate

29.1% Spokane, 2021

K-BB%

20.8% Spokane, 2021

Most Runs Allowed

1,245 Murrieta, 2020

Most Hits Allowed

1,984 Bethlehem, 2010

Most Home Runs Allowed

354 Murrieta, 2021

Most Walks Issued

757 Georgian Bay, 2021

Complete Games

55 Columbus, 2003

Shutouts

29 Spokane, 2015

Saves

69 Northwest, 2012

Lowest Rate Of Inherited Runners Scoring

17.6% Goldenrod, 2016

Defensive Efficiency Ratio

.764 Vegas, 2021

Park-Adjusted DER

.781 Murrieta, 2022

Raw ERA+

134 Spokane, 2023

Park-Adjusted ERA+ (since 2004)

132 Spokane, 2023

 

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Miscellaneous Records (2002–2023)

Most Wins

123 Newton, 2003

Most Losses

124 Little Rock, 2016

Best Run Differential

+511 Bethlehem, 2007

Worst Run Differential

–471 Elysian Fields, 2021

Highest Park Factor

141 Goldenrod, 2023

Lowest Park Factor

71 Cape Cod, 2018

OPS+ & ERA+ Balance

131 Bethlehem, 2007

Z-Score Runs Scored

2.58 Newton, 2003

Z-Score Runs Allowed

2.30 Bethlehem, 2006

Z-Score Runs Plus Runs Allowed

4.19 Bethlehem, 2006

 

MMDA League History Update 2023

It's been three years since I've updated the all-time MMDA manager register.

When I got back into this Blogger user interface, I was immediately reminded why. It's impossible to work with HTML tables in this program. So I created a cool looking table in Excel and pasted a screen grab here.

Active MMDA Managers Ranked By Winning Percentage

The 162-game rate section captures what MMDA standings would look like if the all-time data was telescoped to a single season. 

I incorporated all manager data to which I have access. It dates back to 1995 in several cases, though my understanding is that several MMDA managers' tenures predate that season.

MMDA Manager Register After 2020 Season

This post includes a complete statistical record for MMDA managers going back to 1995.

Managers are ranked by Fibonacci win points. This concept was introduced by Bill James in his book Whatever Happened To The Hall Of Fame? It balances teams' win totals with their winning percentage to arrive at one pleasing number.

Key to categories: 90W and 100W are 90-win and 100-win seasons. DIV stands for division titles and POST for postseason appearances. FIB is Fibonacci win points.

Regular Season Manager Register

RK	MANAGER	W	L	PCT	YRS	90W	100W	DIV	POST	FIB
1	John Tresca	2398	1814	.569	26	19	11	12	19	1949
2	Ray Ross	2338	1874	.555	26	14	6	9	16	1762
3	Steven Tresca	2277	1935	.541	26	18	9	2	19	1573
4	James Bailey	2225	1987	.528	26	9	5	7	14	1413
5	Matt Eddy	1618	1460	.526	19	8	4	8	11	1009
6	Steve Frediani	2064	2148	.490	26	8	3	8	10	927
7	Jim Baker	1979	2235	.470	26	4	2	2	3	673
8	John Lamanna	1095	1011	.520	13	5	1	4	7	653
9	Jim Derer	795	663	.545	9	4	1	4	5	565
10	Tim Ednoff	780	678	.535	9	3	0	1	4	519
11	George O'Connor	777	681	.533	9	4	2	3	6	510
12	Mike Siddon	1517	1723	.468	20	2	0	0	3	504
13	Clyde Elkins	651	645	.502	8	4	2	1	4	333
14	Jim Gruttadauria	707	751	.485	9	0	0	0	2	299
15	Ryan McCabe	771	849	.476	10	1	0	1	2	289
16	Bill Huffman	71	91	.438	1	0	0	0	0	11
17	Patrick Tougas	113	211	.349	2	0	0	0	0	-59
18	Bret Williams	42	120	.259	1	0	0	0	0	-67
19	Kevin Kasunich	302	508	.373	5	0	0	0	0	-93
20	Mike Renick	359	613	.369	6	1	0	0	1	-121

Remember, this data covers the 1995 through 2020 seasons.

Managerial thresholds crossed in 2020: Steve Frediani passed 2,000 wins and Mike Siddon cleared 1,500.

MMDA Team Report Cards For 2020

Context is so important to analysis. 

Numbers take on new meaning when presented in such a way that they can be interpreted quickly and accurately. Toward that end, I created a league report card that grades each MMDA team in terms of its proficiency across basic categories of component performance.

Grades were determined by standard deviation Z-scoring and then mapping those scores to the familiar report card grading tiers of A, B, C, D and F. A true grade point average could be developed by weighting each of the categories based on significance, but I elected to keep things simple for the first draft.

The TOTAL column places the same weight on each category, i.e. it's an average, and is more of a sorting tool than accurate portrayal of overall quality.   

Run-Creation Report Card

TEAM	AVG	ISO	SPD	BB%	SO%	TOTAL
Mohawk Valley	A	A-	C-	A-	A	B+
Northwest	B+	B	A	B+	B+	B+
Death Valley	B+	A-	B-	C	A-	B
Brooklyn	A-	C+	C	B+	B+	B
Wilmington	B	C+	B-	B-	A-	B
California	B	A	B-	C	C	B-
Little Rock	B-	A+	C+	B+	D+	B-
Northeast	C+	C	C	A	B	B-
Murrieta	C+	A	C+	B+	D+	B-
Rochester	C	C+	B-	B+	C+	B-
Rosehill	B+	C+	C	C-	B	C+
Spokane	B-	D+	B-	C+	B	C+
West Side	B-	C-	A-	C+	C-	C+
Willamsport	B-	B-	A	C	D-	C+
Goldenrod	B	D	B+	F	B	C+
Fighting	D+	B+	D	B	C-	C
Cape Cod	D-	C	C	A-	B-	C
Elysian Fields	D	D+	C-	C+	B-	C
Sudbury	C-	C-	D-	C	A-	C
Georgian Bay	F	C+	A+	D-	D-	C-

The listed run-creation categories attempt to capture the spirit of each team's ability to hit for average, hit for power, run, take patient at-bats and make contact.

2020 Final Power Ranking

 
The final poll for the 2020 season. Teams sorted by wins. Ties broken by run differential.

OPS+ and ERA+ are adjusted for ballpark context.

RD run differential
PF park factor multiplier
BB% does not include intentional walks
SPD speed score
BABIP is a rough estimate of team defensive quality

Power Ranking 

No	Team	W	L	PCT	Division	R/G	OPS+	RA/G	ERA+	PF	RD
1	Mohawk Valley	111	51	.685	Kranepool	5.69	112	4.25	119	1.037	+234
2	Spokane	104	58	.642	McBride	4.80	99	3.44	131	0.977	+220
3	Death Valley	97	65	.599	Doyle	5.30	98	4.60	113	1.085	+114
4	Rosehill	95	67	.586	Fidrych	5.15	115	4.28	103	0.894	+142
5	Little Rock	94	68	.580	Fidrych	5.48	106	4.74	107	1.003	+119
6	Northeast	93	69	.574	Doyle	5.00	115	4.25	102	0.871	+122
7	California	92	70	.568	McBride	5.14	110	4.32	108	0.947	+133
8	Northwest	91	71	.562	McBride	5.61	101	5.19	104	1.076	+68
9	West Side	86	76	.531	Doyle	5.11	92	4.96	108	1.070	+25
10	Wilmington	83	79	.512	Kranepool	5.03	105	4.65	104	0.971	+61
11	Fighting	80	82	.494	Doyle	4.91	92	4.72	112	1.047	+30
12	Brooklyn	79	83	.488	Fidrych	5.59	108	5.50	93	1.002	+15
13	Rochester	77	85	.475	Kranepool	4.99	97	5.20	98	1.015	-33
14	Goldenrod	72	90	.444	Fidrych	4.66	89	5.38	97	1.065	-117
15	Willamsport	71	91	.438	Fidrych	4.98	94	5.25	102	1.067	-44
16	Georgian Bay	65	97	.401	Kranepool	4.20	87	5.19	92	0.963	-160
17	Sudbury	64	98	.395	Kranepool	4.56	89	5.47	93	1.021	-147
18	Cape Cod	63	99	.389	Doyle	4.46	99	5.72	71	0.898	-205
19	Elysian Fields	61	101	.377	McBride	4.36	93	5.33	88	0.949	-157
20	Murrieta	42	120	.259	McBride	5.09	97	7.69	58	1.075	-420

MMDA League Records (2002-2020)

A summary of individual and team records covering the past 18 seasons of MMDA play.

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Individual Batting Records 

2002–2020

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No	Batting Average	Year	Team	AVG
1	Albert Pujols	2009	Northern Lehigh	.403
2	Chipper Jones	2009	Northern Lehigh	.390
3	Joe Mauer	2010	Bethlehem	.386
4	Robinson Cano	2007	Northeast	.383
5	Jason Giambi	2002	Port City	.360
6	Albert Pujols	2008	Northern Lehigh	.358
7	Mike Sweeney	2003	Port City	.356
	Miguel Cabrera	2010	Bethlehem	.356
9	Todd Helton	2005	Chicago	.355
10	Hanley Ramirez	2008	Northern Lehigh	.354

No	Home Runs	Year	Team	HR
1	Barry Bonds	2002	Rochester	82
2	Sammy Sosa	2002	Cape Cod	71
	Giancarlo Stanton	2018	Elysian Fields	71
4	David Ortiz	2007	Bethlehem	70
5	Luis Gonzalez	2002	Jersey	69
6	Jim Thome	2003	Newton	68
7	Alex Rodriguez	2008	Cape Cod	65
	Albert Pujols	2011	Northern Lehigh	65
9	Chris Davis	2014	Goldenrod	64
10	Travis Hafner	2007	Wilmington	61